Leighton Grey: Preston Manning’s Thought Experiment: “The Covid Commission”

Imagination is Everything. It is the preview of life’s coming attractions – Albert Einstein A hallmark of Albert Einstein’s career was his use of thought experiments or “Gedankenexperiment” as a […]

Imagination is Everything. It is the preview of life’s coming attractions – Albert Einstein

A hallmark of Albert Einstein’s career was his use of thought experiments or “Gedankenexperiment” as a fundamental tool for understanding physical issues and for elucidating his scientific concepts  These thought experiments employed his incredible imagination and took diverse forms.  As a boy, he mentally chased beams of light.  For special relativity, he conceived moving trains and flashes of lightning to explain his penetrating insights in physics.  For general relativity, he considered a person falling off a roof, accelerating elevators, and even blind beetles crawling on curved surfaces.  Einstein’s thought experiments revolutionized the scientific methods, and set the governing trends in physics, astronomy, and even geopolitics in the 20th and 21st centuries.

More than a hundred years after Einstein’s Swiss Patent Office daydreams, the greatest Prime Minister Canada never had, Preston Manning,  delivered a 46-page discussion  setting out his own thought experiment.  “The Covid Commission” envisions the Liberal Government metaphorically falling off a roof, or chasing light beams.  Manning’s paper (he prefers to call it a fictionalized story)  might very well contain the very best ideas that anyone in Canada has had about how to assess the health, economic, social, cultural, and political impacts of the Covid-19 Pandemic.

More specifically, its focus is on critiquing and even scoring how the Trudeau Government used the levers of power to address what has repeatedly been presented to Canadians as the greatest public crisis of our time.  But how, precisely, can a reasoned inquiry be conducted when Canada has a government under the leadership of Justin Trudeau? Unfortunately, our scandal ridden government literally shuts down debate, closes  commissions of inquiry into its own unethical, unlawful, decisions. Mr. Trudeau runs an ethically challenged government that formed an unholy coalition with the NDP (New Democratic Party) in order to prevent any possibility of its unpopular policies sparking a Parliamentary non-confidence vote.

Preston Manning answers all of these questions by simply using his imagination.

Manning is, of course,  a student of populist politics who met with a few disgruntled Albertans in a hotel room in the late 1980s and grew that concept into the Reform Party, forming the official opposition in the House by 1993.  The Reform Party and its base rescued the Progressive Conservative Party  by amalgamating the two conservative camps into a new Party that would see Stephen Harper lead this country for 10-years before the Trudeau Winter arrived in 2015.

Manning is 80 now, but octogenarian life has not addled his mental powers. The Covid Commission is a vision of what we Canadians can do to restore sense to our politician landscape, and place political power back where it belongs—in the hands of everyday Canadians.  Indeed, as Manning rightly says the commission imagines the next phase of what the courageous truckers started during The Freedom Convoy.

So, what does the Commission Report say?  At the risk of simplifying it too much, it sets out a three-stage process. First, it posits a privately funded public inquiry to investigate how the Trudeau Government dealt with the challenges of the Covid-19 Pandemic.

All aspects are to be considered: Health, economics, social policy, non-pharmaceutical interventions, employment and management of vaccines, and others.

Manning readily acknowledges that the Trudeau Liberals would never commission such an inquiry into their own ineptitude and abuses of power, but answers this with the idea of “crowd funding” the work of the commission.  He posits that if $10M can be raised to support the truckers, then Canadians can certainly raise this sum to launch the Covid Commission.  He also imagines, not unreasonably, that this Commission would receive broad populist support so that even the Liberal Government would abandon its resistance to participation.  Best of all, since the Commission would be privately controlled and funded, Canadians would get to decide who sits on that Commission and the particular issues which they will study.

The second stage involves posing 16 key-questions about how the Liberal Government handled the pandemic. All are questions that rational Canadians, regardless of their political stripe, would want answered. Salient questions are: whether any cost-benefit analysis was done prior to imposing non-pharmaceutical interventions (especially lockdown measures), why scientific debate about the risks posed by the virus was censored, the efficacy and dangers of the vaccines, restriction on the mobility of Canadians, and, of course, invocation of the Emergencies Act to shut down the Freedom Convoy protest.  Manning then proceeds to provide hypothetical answers to these questions based on data that are already in the public domain, often quoting what the Liberal Government has said.

The third stage envisions the writing of a report answering the 16 questions and producing recommendations to ensure that Canadians are never subjected to such callous and calculated abuse by a government again. This stageactively expresses the Rule of Law that the Liberal Government has systemically destroyed.  The Covid Commission  champions a practical way that we Canadians can use Constitutional conventions to restore some semblance of rationality, sanity, and truthfulness to the political state of our nation.

Manning is not an esoteric political theorist, rather he is a serious Canadian who recently wrote Do Something: 365 Ways You Can Strengthen Canada. His politics are  based on boots on the ground populism. His conception of a Covid Commission is ingeniously coherent and eminently practical thought experiment to understand what happened during the pandemic and what should happen in the future when another pandemic occurs. Manning’s ideas would also hold the Liberal Government to account, which would be a good thing.

Manning’s story, “The Covid Commission,” is  a must read for Canadians. I am looking forward to discussing it in more detail with Mr. Manning on an upcoming episode of my Grey Matter podcast. The interview will be available here shortly.

Leighton Grey QC is a lawyer practicing in Calgary and a Senior Fellow at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy.


Leaders on the Frontier interview with Preston Manning, May 11th, 2020 discussing the Covid Commission Story (80 minutes)

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