Les Routledge

Featured News

Rail Competition

The issue of rail competition is getting some attention by shippers.  I notice that the Keystone Ag Producers are encouraging members to express their views.

A while back, Laura Rance had an article on the subject in the Winnipeg Free Press where she made a couple of good points.

We’ve all heard tales of the inefficiencies that have plagued centrally planned economies in far-off places. The compounding effects — sluggish supply chains, lower productivity, missed delivery targets and people who could be working standing around with nothing to do — eventually drag the economy so deeply into an abyss it takes a revolution to get things rolling again.  It turns out, it doesn’t matter whether it’s a tinpot dictatorship or railway executives running the show; if there isn’t enough competition in the system, or regulation that compensates for that lack of competition, efficiency falls off the tracks.

Health News – Treating Obesity

The medical system provides treatment and rehabilitation for people who drive and have an accident in an automobile or suffer from injuries incurred when playing sports.  When it comes to treating obesity, it appears the system takes a different approach.

 

As local doctor and world-renowned obesity expert Arya Sharma says, “The idea that obesity is a voluntarily self-inflicted condition, that people should be able to cope if we educate them enough and if we motivate them enough, is wrong.”

Green Tech Jobs – Moving to China?

Aided by at least $43 million in assistance from the government of Massachusetts and an innovative solar energytechnology, Evergreen Solar emerged in the last three years as the third-largest maker of solar panels in the United States.

But now the company is closing its main American factory, laying off the 800 workers by the end of March and shifting production to a joint venture with a Chinese company in central China. Evergreen cited the much higher government support available in China.http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/15/business/energy-environment/15solar.html?_r=1&hp

I guess governments in Canada and the USA could counter this move by requiring projects receiving government support to be supplied by domestic suppliers as Ontario does under its Feed in Tariff program.  The problem with that approach is that China is on the road to being the largest market for renewable energy systems, so manufacturers will be inclined to locate there to access their domestic market.

Global Warming – Where is the Burden of Proof?

In climate science, the AGW hypothesis states that human GHG emissions significantly affect the climate. As such, the null hypothesis is that human GHG emissions do not significantly affect the climate, that the climate variations are the result of natural processes. This null hypothesis is what Doctor T wants to reverse.

Guilty Until Proven Innocent

When retired elementary school teacher Barb Copp broke her arm last March during an impromptu wake at her home after the sudden death of her best friend, she never dreamed it would result in the suspension of her driver’s licence.

Weather Data and Historic Events

As reported in Der Spiegel, a new study published in the journal “Science”, provides the first annualized accurate climate history of Europe for the past 2500 years.

In general terms, the study indicates that periods of warm weather coincided with periods stability and growth.  On the other hand, periods of cooler weather coincided with periods of turmoil and societal upheaval.  The following is a rough Google translation of the Speigel article….

As it gradually became warmer [around] 300 BC, while relatively much rain fell, the Roman Empire flourished. The climate helped the Romans to the rise, as historians have noted, “The harvest yields, increased mining areas could be developed, Northern Europe, was recognized as soon as the road passable in the winter was over the Alps. Even in England the flourishing vineyards.

Netflix confronting Canadian challenges

Video streaming eats up a lot of bandwidth. This isn’t a problem for Netflix in the U.S., where one of the strictest plans is Comcast Corp.’s, which limits users to 250 gigabytes per month. That’s still enough to watch eight hours of Netflix per day. In Canada, Internet providers have capped bandwidth use much more aggressively….

…“A bit is a bit is a bit. If you’re a heavy user, regardless of what’s causing the heavy use, you will pay more. That’s the concept,” said Mirko Bibic, Bell Canada’s senior vice-president for regulatory affairs. “The caps we’ve established are well above our average users. If you’re a super-super heavy user, you should pay more….

…a Credit Suisse report last week noted that a Netflix subscriber with a Rogers Lite account would be charged an extra $4 per hour for watching any more than roughly half an hour per day

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/technology/tech-news/netflix-confronting-canadian-challenges/article1866312/

News like this makes me wonder if there should be structural separation between companies that operate broadcasting operations under the Broadcast Act and those that operate telecom undertakings that are defined under the Telecom Act.

Future Scenarios are not Predictions

The researcher’s description of the study contains some imprecise language.  For example,

http://www.nationalpost.com/news/Planet+faces+great+glacier+meltdown+2100+study/4082733/story.html

“The study estimates 21% of the glacier ice will melt away by 2100”

Or

“The study concludes that by 2100 the sea level will rise about 12 centimetres”

As with any study, this one assesses the possible impacts of alternative scenarios that may MAY OR MAY NOT occur in the future.  Indeed, the methodology employed by the study used inputs of possible weather scenarios from computational models to set the parameters of their analysis.  These inputs are not predictions but instead are possible scenarios of future global weather patterns or climatic conditions that may or may not occur.  These models are not designed “to predict” localized future weather conditions and as such they cannot realistically provide accurate predictions of weather that might occur in localized areas such as mountain glaciers.  As such, the study does not have the ability to predict “will occur” scenarios.  All of its analysis should be describe as “X may occur if Y weather conditions develop”.